Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002040 0.002167 0.002298 0.002444 0.002603 0.002770 0.002960
2025-05-04 0.001896 0.002079 0.002278 0.002509 0.002772 0.003062 0.003410
2025-05-11 0.001808 0.002033 0.002285 0.002588 0.002947 0.003360 0.003876
2025-05-18 0.001711 0.001962 0.002251 0.002609 0.003046 0.003566 0.004242
2025-05-25 0.001595 0.001859 0.002167 0.002559 0.003050 0.003651 0.004456
2025-06-01 0.001509 0.001783 0.002110 0.002533 0.003076 0.003758 0.004699
2025-06-08 0.001456 0.001743 0.002091 0.002551 0.003155 0.003932 0.005036
2025-06-15 0.001390 0.001682 0.002042 0.002526 0.003173 0.004025 0.005266
2025-06-22 0.001334 0.001631 0.002002 0.002509 0.003198 0.004127 0.005512
2025-06-29 0.001281 0.001580 0.001959 0.002485 0.003211 0.004209 0.005732
2025-07-06 0.001228 0.001527 0.001910 0.002449 0.003205 0.004261 0.005910
2025-07-13 0.001166 0.001460 0.001840 0.002380 0.003149 0.004238 0.005969
2025-07-20 0.001139 0.001441 0.001838 0.002410 0.003240 0.004445 0.006415
2025-07-27 0.001122 0.001435 0.001852 0.002463 0.003370 0.004718 0.006993
2025-08-03 0.001113 0.001439 0.001880 0.002538 0.003534 0.005056 0.007709
2025-08-10 0.001087 0.001418 0.001871 0.002557 0.003616 0.005269 0.008234
2025-08-17 0.001042 0.001368 0.001818 0.002509 0.003589 0.005304 0.008451
2025-08-24 0.001006 0.001330 0.001782 0.002483 0.003596 0.005395 0.008773
2025-08-31 0.000986 0.001313 0.001775 0.002501 0.003672 0.005604 0.009334
2025-09-07 0.000954 0.001279 0.001741 0.002476 0.003677 0.005692 0.009671
2025-09-14 0.000927 0.001250 0.001714 0.002459 0.003694 0.005801 0.010059
2025-09-21 0.000899 0.001220 0.001684 0.002436 0.003697 0.005885 0.010404
2025-09-28 0.000870 0.001187 0.001647 0.002401 0.003679 0.005929 0.010670